DUAL THREAT TOMORROW: Flooding Rains & Severe Weather for North Texas Tuesday - Isolated 5 to 10" of Rainfall Possible
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FORECAST TOMORROW: The WCEP has given DFW a MODERATE RISK of seeing an excessive amount of rainfall for Central/Eastern DFW tomorrow. The graphic above represents the rain accumulation forecast according to the GFS model for tomorrow. You can clearly see, most of the metroplex will see upwards of 2-4", with some areas receiving from 5-10". (NOTE: This is a computer model. Results may vary. You may see more or less rain from what your location's total states)
Rainfall totals across DFW will reach 1-5" tomorrow, with some areas receiving 5-10 INCHES OF RAIN tomorrow. The MODERATE RISK means that there is a 40-50% chance that rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance within a 25-mile radius. The yellow/orange shading represents a 10-20% chance, and then the green shading represents a 5-10% chance of that occurring.
And if flooding rains wasn't enough, there is a SLIGHT RISK of Severe Weather across Central/Southern/ Eastern DFW. The primary concerns will be large hail (up to golf ball size) and damaging winds (up to 70 mph). A brief tornado cannot be ruled out, but the overall risk is low.
A MARGINAL RISK of severe weather exists in Northern/Western sections of DFW, with the primary threat being isolated large hail or damaging winds.
Even though severe weather is possible, my main concern will be the flooding threat. Stay safe tomorrow.
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